Health Education AIDS Liaison, Toronto

Viral Load Tests
What are they really measuring?

£1,000 CHALLENGE

"The vice of PCR is that it can find the biochemical equivalent of a needle in a haystack. Viral fragments that are present only in minute quantities can be amplified and identified, but this tells us nothing about whether replicating virus is present in sufficient quantities to do harm."
- Kary Mullis, inventor of PCR, Nobel prize, chemistry, 1993

"The Amplicor HIV-1 Monitor [viral load] test is not intended to be used as a screening test for HIV or as a diagnostic test to confirm the presence of HIV infection."
- Roche Diagnostic Systems, test kit manufacturers

Why You Cannot Count on Viral Load
  • Viral load tests detect and multiply only fragments of genes, not HIV.
  • Test manufacturers warn that viral load cannot confirm the presence of HIV.
  • The FDA has not approved viral load tests for diagnostic use.
  • Viral loads are found in healthy people who test HIV negative.
  • High viral loads do not correlate with low T cells or illness.
  • Low viral loads do not correlate with high T cells or wellness.

from: What if everything you thought about AIDS was wrong?
by Christine Maggiore

What's Up with Viral Load?
by Christine Maggiore
This excellent summary cuts through the jargon to bring us the facts we need to know. "One glaring problem with the HIV/AIDS hypothesis is that researchers have been unable to find enough HIV (actual virus) in people who test positive to explain compromised health. Even among patients suffering from the most severe AIDS-defining illnesses, HIV is never detected in quantities that could cause depletion of immune cells. ..."

Viral Load or Virtual Virology?

From the front page, third paragraph of Roche's insert for the AMPLICOR viral load PCR test:

"The AMPLICOR HIV-1 MONITOR Test is not intended to be used as a screening test for HIV or as a diagnostic test to confirm the presence of HIV infection."


de Mendoza et al.
False positives for HIV using commercial viral load quantification assays. AIDS. 1998; 12(15): 2076-7.

"We selected 20 healthy volunteers, all of whom yield negative results for HIV antibodies using different screening tests. Plasma from all of them were analysed by three different currently available HIV viral load tests: branched DNA (bDNA) signal amplification assay (Chiron), nucleic acid sequence-based amplification (NASBA) Nuclisens (Organon Teknika), and Ultradirect reverse transcriptase (RT)-PCR Monitor (Roche)...2 samples [10%] yielded positive results by the bDNA assay...Another 2 specimens [10%] yielded false-positive results by the NASBA Nuclisens...[and] one of the 20 samples [5%] was interpreted as positive by the Ultradirect RT-PCR Monitor assay...using the Monitor test with non-B primers, up to 4 of the 20 samples [20%] yielded positive values...Results were reproduced in more than half of tested specimens for which plasma volumes were enough for repeat testing"


Schwartz D. H. et al.
"Extensive evaluation of a seronegative participant in an HIV-1 vaccine trial as a result of false-positive PCR" (1997) The Lancet 350: 256-259.

In this case report we discover that the patient:

  • tested positive by PCR, but antibody negative.
  • had a "viral load" of 100,000 copies RNA per ml, called false positive.
  • was subjected to $5000 worth of PCR testing to get the "right" answer -- negative.


Christine Defer et al.
"Multicentre quality control of polymerase chain reaction [viral load] for detection of HIV DNA" (1992) AIDS 6: 659-663

"False-positive and false-negative results were observed in all laboratories (concordance with serology ranged from 40 to 100%)."


Michael P. Busch et al.
"Poor sensitivity, specificity, and reproducibility of detection of HIV-1 DNA in serum by polymerase chain reaction" (1992) Journal of Acquired Immune Deficiency 5: 872-877.

"The results indicate that current techniques for detecting cell-free HIV-1 DNA in serum lack adequate sensitivity, specificity, and reproducibility for widespread clinical applications."

"In any event, the levels of viral (and cellular) DNA in serum appear to be so low that reproducible detection, even with use of PCR, is not currently possible."


Josiah D. Rich et al.
"Misdiagnosis of HIV infection by HIV-1 plasma viral load testing: a case series" (1999) Annals of Internal Medicine 130: 37-39.

"The availability of sensitive assays for plasma HIV viral load and the trend toward earlier and more aggressive treatment of HIV infection has led to the inappropriate use of these assays as primary tools for the diagnosis of acute HIV infection."

"Physicians should exercise caution when using the plasma viral load assays to detect primary HIV infection"

"Plasma viral load tests for HIV-1 were neither developed nor evaluated for the diagnosis of HIV infection"


M. Piatak et al.
"High levels of HIV-1 in plasma during all stages of infection determined by competitive PCR" (1993) Science 259: 1749-1754.

Don't be distracted by the title of the paper, the authors were clearly in a trance. The evidence they present demonstrates exactly the opposite:

"Plasma virus levels determined by QC-PCR [viral load or HIV RNA copies/ml in Table 1.] correlated with, but exceeded by an average of 60,000-fold, virus titers measured by endpoint dilution culture." By this they mean a form of pseudo isolation: "Plasma culture (TCID/ml)" -- the column with the most zeros in Table 1.

In fact, 53% of the viral load positive patients had no culturable HIV. "For HIV-1 propagated in vitro, total virions have been reported to exceed culturable infectious units by factors of 104 to 107, ratios similar to those we observed in plasma."

So next time you hear a viral load count get out your calculator and divide by a number between 10,000 and 10,000,000 and you might reach an approximation of reality.

Table 1. [detail] Virologic and clinical summary for 66 consecutively studied HIV-1-infected patients. [full table]


Haynes W. Sheppard et al.
"Viral burden and HIV disease" (1993) Nature 364: 291.

"...the high level of plasma virus observed by Piatak et al. [reference above] was about 99.9 per cent non-culturable, suggesting that it was either neutralized or defective."

Of course, "neutralized" or "defective" virus is of no clinical significance for the patient. "Viral load" numbers are nothing but a laboratory artifact concocted by over zealous HIV researchers to try to save their bankrupt HIV=AIDS hypothesis.

citations from: CONTRIBUTIONS TO MBEKI'S EXPERT AIDS PANEL
By David Rasnick August 2000

'Virtual Viral Load' Tests
Seeing is believing - it's time to call their bluff!
by Michael Verney-Elliot
Continuum volume 5, number 5 - mid-winter 1999
Mediaeval theologians were obsessed with how many angels danced on the head of a pin. Virtual virology is a more recent phenomenon which persuades non-critical virologists that huge quantities of 'HIV' particles exist in the blood of people deemed 'HIV positive', and cause the thirty or so diseases currently supposed to make up the syndrome known as 'AIDS'.

Viral Load Tests Poor Predictor of "HIV progression" or Survival
Barcelona, Spain; Monday, July 8, 2002 -- Medscape coverage of the XIV International AIDS Conference: "When quantitation of viral load became possible in the mid-1990s, it was widely believed that this would provide the ultimate marker of the risk of HIV progression and death. In fact, this has not proved to be the case, and there has therefore been renewed attention to other, perhaps simpler and cheaper measures of risk."

IFAS Press-Communique from the 12th World AIDS Conference
None of the so-called "HIV-markers", biomedical or genetic, seen in human subjects labelled "HIV positive" and/or having "AIDS" has been known to be specific for "HIV".

The Perth Group on "Viral Load"
The following is the end of the Perth Group's presentation A CRITICAL ANALYSIS OF THE EVIDENCE FOR THE EXISTENCE OF HIV AND THE HIV ANTIBODY TESTS at the 12th World AIDS Conference in Geneva, June 28th 1998. It should lay to rest the fantasy that "viral load" tests measure the amount of "HIV" in the blood.

VIRAL LOAD OF CRAP
by Paul Philpott and Christine Johnson ~ Reappraising AIDS October 1996
Judging by the title, you might not think this is a serious scientific paper, but it is. "For those who still think that HIV causes AIDS, the latest fad -- along with protease inhibitors -- is "viral load." There was a time not so long ago when one of the best arguments against the HIV theory was that there simply was not enough HIV in AIDS patients to account for any disease. Actually, it's still one of the best arguments! No, you say? You've heard there's some new technique that finds tons of HIV -- high viral load -- in AIDS patients? The old virus-counting method just wasn't sensitive enough, they say. Here we take a look at this new technique, and find it sadly lacking. ..."

Analysis of the Ho & Shaw Papers
by Mark Craddock
"Anybody who does not like mathematics be advised that there is some coming up." - M.C.

What Dr Rasnick learned at the Gordon Conference
David Rasnick asks the leading HIV experts some hard questions about what viral load tests are really measuring.

Concerns about HIV/AIDS Testing and Measurement
HIV-positive people are some of the most poked, prodded, tested and measured in the world. Yet, surprisingly enough, most of the tests and measurements are not nearly as accurate as is generally stated. This document from the Alberta Reappraising AIDS Society describes each of the tests used to diagnose or monitor HIV status followed be long lists of quotes from scientific journals. See section: Viral Load (PCR; Polymerase Chain Reaction)

£1,000 CHALLENGE: CALLING THEIR BLUFF. THERE ARE NO HIV PARTICLES.

Michael Verney-Elliott, an indefatigable researcher, has a standing offer of £1,000 to anyone who can produce an electronmicrograph as proof of 'HIV' in a person/persons with a recent 'high viral load' test result. The conditions of the offer are:

  1. Only plasma centrifuged from fresh whole blood may be used.. No material derived from cultured cells will be considered, to rule out 'viral particles' which may be merely cultural artefacts.
  2. The donor blood/plasma must be taken from a person/persons with a recent 'high viral load' test result, and evidence for the date and result of the test (the number of 'HIV' RNAs alleged) must be submitted...
  3. The donor must not be in receipt of protease inhibitors, AZT or any other antiviral drug.
  4. Only cold heparinised Ringer's solution may be used to dilute the plasma 1:1.
  5. The diluted plasma shall be first filtered by aspiration-filtration, through a 0.6 millipore membrane. The resulting filtrate #1 will then be filtered again, this time using a 0.22 millipore membrane and filtrate #2 will be submitted to ultracentrifugation.
  6. Centrifugation at 30,000g for two hours will be used to prepare a pellet, likely to be extremely small. This pellet will be fixed with glutaraldehyde and osmium, then carefully detached and embedded in epoxy resins following routine EM procedures.
  7. The electronmicrograph shall be at least 19,500x magnification.. 'HIV' has been deemed to be a lentivirus, possessing a dense core of truncated conical shape. An ultrathin slice of randomly packed lentiviruses must inevitably show a number of particles bisected to show this core lengthwise, as well as end-on, with a resultant mixture of round and 'rod-shaped' dense cores. Any micrograph which does not clearly show this feature will be deemed not to represent the lentivirus 'HIV'.
  8. This challenge is open to any qualified scientists, microbiology students, or lab technicians with the necessary lab skills and facilities.

Contact Michael Verney-Elliott c/o Continuum


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